Duke vs. Arkansas odds, prediction, betting trends for 2022 March Madness Elite Eight game

No. 2 Duke meets No. 4 Arkansas in the Elite Eight round of the 2022 men’s basketball tournament Saturday.

The game is at the Chase Center in San Francisco. Tip off is schedule for 8:49 pm ET, and the game will be televised on TBS.

Duke (31-6) will continue the farewell tour for legendary coach Mike Krzyzewski after knocking off Texas Tech 78-73 in the Sweet 16. The Blue Devils are looking to return to the Final Four for the first time since 2015. Freshman Paolo Banchero continues to lead one of the most-talented teams in the nation.

MORE: Duke outlasts Texas Tech in Sweet 16 tussle

Arkansas (28-8) is back in the Elite Eight for the second straight season after a 74-68 upset against No. 1 Gonzaga on Saturday. The Razorbacks are looking to get back to the Final Four for the first time since 1995. Coach Eric Musselman leads an up-tempo attack, and Arkansas has won three tournament games by six points or less.

DECOURCY: Attacking Arkansas too much for No. 1 Gonzaga

Here’s everything to know about betting on Duke vs. Arkansas in the 2022 NCAA Tournament, including updated odds, trends and our prediction for the Elite Eight matchup:

Duke vs. Arkansas odds

  • Spread: Duke -4
  • Over / under: 147.5
  • Moneyline: Duke -190, Arkansas +160

The Blue Devils are favored to make it to the Final Four, and this likely will stick given the Razorbacks have been a solid underdog play this season. For more, check the lines at Sports Interaction.

Three betting trends to watch

– Duke has been favored in all but one game this season. The Blue Devils are 8-2 S / U but 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games.

– The over has hit in seven of Arkansas’ last 10 games, but their last two games have hit the under. The over has hit in eight of Duke’s last 10 games.

– Arkansas is 5-1 ATS as an underdog this season, but they are 3-3 S / U in those games. The Razorbacks were a 9.5-point underdog against Gonzaga in the Sweet 16.

Duke key players

Banchero, a 6-10, 250-pound freshman, is a matchup nightmare. He averages 17.2 points and 7.8 rebounds per game. Sophomore guard Jeremy Roach scored 15 points against the Red Raiders and is the tone-setter for the offense, and 7-foot center Mark Williams is a dominant interior presence. Freshman AJ Griffin (10.3 ppg) and Trevor Keels average (11.7 ppg) double figures, and junior Wendell Moore (13.5 ppg) is another threat in the offense. It’s a young-but-talented group that was clutch down the stretch against Michigan State and Texas Tech.

SN NBA DRAFT SCOUTING REPORT: Paolo Banchero

Arkansas key players

The Razorbacks have five seniors in their seven-man rotation, led by senior guard JD Notae, who averages 18.5 points per game. Guards Stanley Umude (12.2) and Au’Diese Toney (10.7) also are seniors in the backcourt who average double digits. Jaylin Williams scored 15 points with 12 rebounds in the victory against Gonzaga. Davonte Davis, Chris Lykes and Trey Wade are role players for Arkansas.

Best individual matchup: JD Notae vs. Jeremy Roach

Banchero is the scorer, but Roach has the responsibility of controlling the tempo against Arkansas’ high-pressure defense. Roach has scored in double figures in every tournament game, and he has a 13: 6 assist-to-turnover ratio. Notae took 29 shots and hit just 2 of 12 from 3-point range against Gonzaga, but he also had six assists and three steals. He’s a high-energy player who had three 30-point games this season, including one in a victory against Kentucky on Feb. 26.

Duke vs. Arkansas stat to know

If this does become a fast-paced game, it’s worth knowing the Blue Devils are 15-1 when they hit 80 points or more. The lone loss came in a 94-81 loss to North Carolina in Krzyzewski’s home finale on March 5. Arkansas is 10-2 when it hits 80 or more points, so they are comfortable playing a high-scoring thriller. It becomes a toss-up at that point.

Get to know … Jaylin Williams, F, Arkansas

The 6-10 sophomore forward had 15 points and 12 rebounds, including 11 defensive boards, in the victory against Gonzaga. Teamed with Trey Wade, he was able to match the Bulldogs’ front-court of Drew Timme and Chet Holmgren. Now comes the challenge of dealing with Williams and Banchero for Duke. Williams has 19 double-doubles this season, and Arkansas is 16-3 in those games.

Duke vs. Arkansas prediction

This matchup will conjure up memories of the 1994 national championship game between the teams, and there are similarities in this matchup. Duke shoots 37% from 3-point range for the season, a number they were a shade under against the Red Raiders. Arkansas will need to shoot better from that range, and Notae is going to have to deliver another high-scoring game with better efficiency. The Razorbacks do have the Elite Eight experience to make this happen, too. Still, Duke’s young lineup has closed games in the second half. The Blue Devils are making 85.1% of their free throws, too. As long as Banchero and Williams stay out of foul trouble, then Duke will make its next stop the Final Four.

Final score: Duke 81, Arkansas 76

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